As the inventory market in China continues to be in turmoil, China stocks face big risks from hedge fund trades. While VC-backed Chinese companies typically employ “beta-one” strategies, long/short equity strategies are likely to fare better. This article aims to provide investors with the latest information on China’s inventory market and hedge fund trades.
VC-backed Chinese companies tend to run “beta-one” strategies
VC-backed Chinese companies are often domestic-focused and mainly focus on the EM universe, reducing their dependence on US sales. While these companies are insulated from the trade war, there are other reasons for investors to consider investing in these companies, including the possibility of longer-term growth opportunities. In particular, healthcare is considered to be an attractive long-term opportunity in China.
Long/short equity strategies should fare well in China
Long/short equity strategies should perform well in China, with some caveats. China’s market has a relatively high proportion of individual investors, poor corporate governance standards, and wild swings in volatility. China’s restrictions on short selling create an advantage for professional asset managers, who have the scale and skill to navigate the complexities of this market. This is particularly true of short selling in emerging markets, like China.
Short positions exploit the ongoing transition in China’s economy away from low-cost manufacturing. Investment-led segments of China’s economy, such as real estate, coal, and steel, have excess capacity. While current valuations look optimistic, the country’s rising wages are likely to parallel the challenges of an aggressive trade war. This could be an opportunity for long/short investors. But China’s recent economic challenges may make the market a “value trap” and prevent investors from making the necessary profits.
Hedge fund trade dangers worsening turmoil in its inventory market
Investors should avoid Chinese hedge funds due to the potential for further market chaos. Besides, fund managers might be forced to sell if their funds have further losses. With the Shanghai Composite Index down -17% this year, this could be a big risk. Furthermore, crackdowns on private enterprise in China and strict Covid Zero policy are adding to the woes of investors.
During stressful times, hedge funds’ performance is typically less than stellar. Their high fees mean that they are not a good way to diversify in bad times. Further, they are not very useful in good times due to their high fees. During times of market turmoil, hedge funds are less useful as diversification tools. And, of course, they are not as liquid as traditional stocks and bonds.